Next Gen Stats Preview
NEXT GEN STATS WEEK 7 PREVIEW: EAGLES AT COWBOYS
Best of Eagles Notes
Carson Wentz
Wentz has completed +4.0% of passes above expectation since 2017 on 3rd down (Best in NFL)
> 57.8% xComp (3rd-lowest in NFL), 27.1% tight window throw pct (highest in NFL)
> 43.0% success rate on 3rd down since 2017 (3rd-best in NFL), throws 2.4 air yards past the sticks (5th-most in NFL)
More effective passing to intermediate (10-19 air yds) with Alshon Jeffery ON-field since 2017
> Jeffery ON-field (224 att): 139/224 (62.1%), 10.2 yds/att, 20 TD, 2 INT (122.2 passer rating) +8.8% Below Expectation
> Jeffery OFF-field (42 att): 20/42 (47.6%), 7.4 yds/att, 4 TD, 0 INT (104.5 passer rating) -9.8% Above Expectation
Eagles Offense
RB by Committee: The Eagles have gone 41 straight games without a RB playing 65+% of snaps
> The last Eagles RB to play more than 65% of snaps in a game was Darren Sproles (70% in Week 2, 2017 at KC)
> Jordan Howard: Played 40 snaps in Week 6 at MIN, the most snaps played by an Eagles RB in a game this season
DeSean Jackson: 6 TDs of 40+ air yards since 2016, most in the NFL
> Averages 35.2 air yards per target on deep passes since 2016, deepest in NFL
Zach Ertz: Leads all TEs in “detached” receptions (109) since 2018 (slot or wide aligned)
> Since 2018: No TE has aligned (121 pass plays) and targeted (40 targets) when aligned in Trips Special (Y-Iso)
Eagles Defense
Fletcher Cox: Eagles generate +6% more pressure when Cox is on-field (30% ON, 24% OFF since 2018)
> Cox has 121 QB pressures since 2017, 2nd most among all interior DL (behind Aaron Donald, 165)
Brandon Graham: 28 QB disruptions (pressure, hurry, or sack) this season, 5th-most in the NFL
> Graham is 1 of 2 EDGE DL in the NFL with at least 10 run stops and 25 QB disruptions (Dante Fowler is other)
Malcolm Jenkins: Has not missed an Eagles defensive play since Week 17, 2017 (Team rested starters)
> Jenkins aligns in the box on 44% of plays this season (165 of 373), 4th-highest rate among safeties (min. 200 snaps)
Best of Cowboys Notes
Dak Prescott
Prescott is second among all qualified QBs in Comp Pct Above Expectation (+7.5%) this season
> Prescott is 1 of 4 QBs who has exceeded his expected completion percentage in each of the last 4 seasons
66.3 passer rating vs. blitz over last 3 games (151.0 over first 3 games, 2nd-best in span)
> Prescott has been pressured when blitzed almost twice as often since Week 4 (39%) than in first 3 games (20%)
Passing situations where Prescott has outperformed Wentz since entering the league in 2016
> Prescott: Deep: 112.4 passer rating | Tight Windows: 66.7 | Tight Aligned Targets 124.4 | On the Run: 95.0
> Wentz: Deep: 67.6 passer rating | Tight Windows: 40.2 | Tight Aligned Targets: 106.1 | On the Run: 82.1
Ezekiel Elliott
Elliott has faced a light box (6-or-fewer defenders in box) on 51% of carries this season (2018: 32.6%)
> 2019: 313 rushing yards vs. light boxes, 2nd-most in NFL (10+ yards on 19% of carries vs. light box, t-7th among RB)
Elliott has been stuffed on just 3 of 57 inside runs (5%), 3rd-lowest stuff rate (min. 20 inside att)
> PHI Defense: Allows 2.8 yards per carry on inside runs this season, 3rd-best in the NFL
Elliott has been targeted on just 16% of routes this season (26% of routes in 2018)
> Second-lowest target rate per route run among all RBs with at least 10 targets (Kerryon Johnson, 15%)
Cowboys Offense
Tyron Smith: Prescott has been under pressure +13% more often without Smith (20% ON, 33% OFF)
> Prescott has struggled under pressure without Smith on-field (10/27, 188 yds, TD, 2 INT, 43.4 passer rating)
Cowboys Defense
DeMarcus Lawrence: 3rd down pass rush generates +8% more pressure w/Lawrence since 2016
Leighton Vander Esch: Made tackle on 18.3% of snaps since 2018 (best in the NFL, min. 600 snaps)
> Vander Esch (& Jaylon Smith) both rank in the top 10 in sideline tackles since 2018 (27 each, t-7th-most in NFL)
Jaylon Smith: QB disruption on 21% of pass rushes in 2019, 2nd-highest in NFL (min 30 pass rushes)
Eagles Offense vs. Cowboys Defense
PHI For the second straight season, higher pass success rate in 12 personnel (51%) than 11 personnel (45%)
> 2018: 55% pass success rate in 12 personnel, 47% pass success rate in 11 personnel
PHI 54% of rushes this season have been into light boxes (6 or fewer defenders), 4th-highest rate in NFL
DAL Cowboys run defense has been effective in 4-3 personnel (3.7 rush YPP) and struggled in Nickel (4.8)
DAL Generated pressure on 34% of pass plays over first 3 games (22% QBP during 3-game losing streak)
Wentz has a 37.3 passer rating on deep passes in Weeks 2-6 (4th-lowest in NFL, min. 10 deep att)
> 2 of 3 TD on deep passes this season caught by DeSean Jackson in Week 1 (Miles Sanders, Week 6)
> DAL Defense: Allowed a 76.5 passer rating on deep passes this season (9th-best in NFL)
Targets the slot on 39% of attempts (4th-highest in NFL), the backfield on 12% of attempts (5th-lowest)
Cowboys Offense vs. Eagles Defense
DAL Under OC Kellen Moore, increased 11 personnel usage by 9% (2019: 72% | 2018: 63%)
> The Cowboys average +3.0 more pass YPP in 11 personnel this season (8.8 vs. 5.8)
> 16 of 19 offensive TDs this season have come from 11 personnel (T-most by a team from single personnel grouping)
DAL The Cowboys run on 60% of plays with 2+ TE on-field (40% run from all other formations)
PHI The Eagles pass defense allows 9.7 pass YPP in base 4-3 personnel (6.4 in all other personnel)
PHI The Eagles generate pressure on 42% of 3rd down pass plays with a 4-man pass rush (5th in NFL)
Prescott is second among all qualified QBs in Comp Pct Above Expectation (+7.5%) this season
> Prescott is 1 of 4 QBs who has exceeded his expected completion percentage in each of the last 4 seasons
Prescott has been pressured almost twice as often in 3 straight losses (Weeks 1-3: 18% | Weeks 4-6: 32%)
> Prescott faced the #1 ranked team in pressure rate in Week 4 (Saints) and #4 ranked team in Week 5 (Packers)
Prescott has thrown behind the line of scrimmage at the lowest rate in the NFL (9%) this season
> Prescott threw behind the line of scrimmage on 14% of attempts in 2016-2018 seasons
